← Distorted Reflections Store Championship
Fire AggroTier 2
at Distorted Reflections Store Championship
decks
1
(9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
3-4-0
overall winrate
42.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.1%
avg ELO -2.5 per match
expected value
47.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1357
· median 1357
· range 1357–1357
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1108
Q1 1306
Q3 1362
1548
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 36.4% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 45.1% | -3.7 |
| Fire Suited | 18.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 18.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.0% | +4.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.3% | -12.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.7% | +13.9 |
| Fire Suzaku | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.1% | -12.7 |
| Water Genbu | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ciel | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Aggro decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
